articleScienceSep 19, 2024GREEN OA

A 485-million-year history of Earth’s surface temperature

National Museum of Natural History · University of Arizona · +4 more institutions

PubMed
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Abstract

A long-term record of global mean surface temperature (GMST) provides critical insight into the dynamical limits of Earth’s climate and the complex feedbacks between temperature and the broader Earth system. Here, we present PhanDA, a reconstruction of GMST over the past 485 million years, generated by statistically integrating proxy data with climate model simulations. PhanDA exhibits a large range of GMST, spanning 11° to 36°C. Partitioning the reconstruction into climate states indicates that more time was spent in warmer rather than colder climates and reveals consistent latitudinal temperature gradients within each state. There is a strong correlation between atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO 2 )…

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193
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Authors

7

Topics & keywords

Keywords
  • Proxy (statistics)
  • Climatology
  • Climate system
  • Environmental science
  • Earth system science
  • Climate state
  • Climate model
  • Global temperature
UN Sustainable Development Goals
  • Climate action
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