articleInnovation and Emerging TechnologiesJan 1, 2024Closed access

Machine learning Brent crude oil price forecasts

North Carolina State University

Indexed incrossref

Abstract

Forecasts regarding the prices of energy commodities have long been significant to many market players. Our research examines the price of Brent crude oil on a daily basis in order to address the issue. The price series under investigation has significant financial ramifications, and the sample under investigation spans 10 years, from April 7, 2014 to March 28, 2024. In this case, cross-validation procedures and Bayesian optimization approaches are used to construct Gaussian process regression methods, and the resulting strategies are used to generate price estimates. For the out-of-sample evaluation period of March 24, 2022 to March 28, 2024, our empirical prediction technique yields relatively accurate…

Citation impact

116
total citations
FWCI
121.00
Percentile
100%
References
306
Citations per year

Authors

2

Topics & keywords

Keywords
  • Brent Crude
  • Crude oil
  • Econometrics
  • Sample (material)
  • Oil price
  • Economics
  • Bayesian probability
  • Order (exchange)
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