Abstract
Forecasts regarding the prices of energy commodities have long been significant to many market players. Our research examines the price of Brent crude oil on a daily basis in order to address the issue. The price series under investigation has significant financial ramifications, and the sample under investigation spans 10 years, from April 7, 2014 to March 28, 2024. In this case, cross-validation procedures and Bayesian optimization approaches are used to construct Gaussian process regression methods, and the resulting strategies are used to generate price estimates. For the out-of-sample evaluation period of March 24, 2022 to March 28, 2024, our empirical prediction technique yields relatively accurate…
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116
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- FWCI
- 121.00
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- 100%
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Authors
2Topics & keywords
Topics
Keywords
- Brent Crude
- Crude oil
- Econometrics
- Sample (material)
- Oil price
- Economics
- Bayesian probability
- Order (exchange)
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