articleEnergiesJan 2, 2026GOLD OA

GSTAformer: Graph-Guided Spatio-Temporal Autoformer for Mid-Term Wind Power Forecasting

Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology · Guizhou Electric Power Design and Research Institute · +1 more institution

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Abstract

Accurate wind power forecasting is crucial for modern power systems, yet most deep learning models neglect spatial relationships between turbines. We propose GSTAformer, a graph-guided spatio-temporal model capturing both spatial and temporal dependencies through MIC- and PCC-built graphs; GraphSAGE for spatial feature extraction; multi-scale convolution for trend detection; and an improved Autoformer for temporal modeling. Experiments on SDWPF and GEFCom2012 datasets demonstrate GSTAformer’s superior performance, achieving a 24 h mean squared error (MSE) of 0.7480 and mean absolute error (MAE) of 0.6362 on SDWPF. This work integrates graph-based spatial modeling with enhanced temporal forecasting for…

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Topics & keywords

Keywords
  • Wind power
  • Convolution (computer science)
  • Mean squared error
  • Wind power forecasting
  • Wind speed
  • Work (physics)
  • Feature (linguistics)
  • Power (physics)
UN Sustainable Development Goals
  • Affordable and clean energy
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