articleEnergiesJan 5, 2026GOLD OA

Patch Time Series Transformer−Based Short−Term Photovoltaic Power Prediction Enhanced by Artificial Fish

Qingdao University · Shanghai Electric (China) · +2 more institutions

Indexed incrossrefdoaj

Abstract

The reliability and economic operation of power systems increasingly depend on renewable energy, making accurate short−term photovoltaic (PV) power prediction essential. Conventional approaches struggle with the nonlinear and stochastic characteristics of PV data. This study proposes an enhanced prediction framework integrating Artificial Fish Swarm Algorithm–Isolation Forest (AFSA–IF) anomaly detection, Generative Adversarial Network−based feature extraction, multimodal data fusion, and a Patch Time Series Transformer (PatchTST) model. The framework includes advanced preprocessing, fusion of meteorological and historical power data, and weather classification via one−hot encoding. Experiments on datasets from…

Citation impact

15
total citations
FWCI
365.25
Percentile
100%
References
60
Too recent for citation history.

Authors

6

Topics & keywords

Keywords
  • Photovoltaic system
  • Robustness (evolution)
  • Time series
  • Transformer
  • Artificial neural network
  • Electricity generation
  • Renewable energy
  • Mean squared error
UN Sustainable Development Goals
  • Affordable and clean energy
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