articleNature CommunicationsJan 6, 2026GOLD OA

Persistent river heatwaves are emerging worldwide under climate change

Sun Yat-sen University · Bangor University · +1 more institution

PubMed
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Abstract

Rivers and the organisms living within them are highly vulnerable to hot thermal extremes. However, very little is known about river heatwaves, consecutive episodes of anomalously high temperature in rivers, and how they may evolve under climate change. Here we show that river heatwaves will become more intense and more persistent globally by the end of the 21st century, with some tropical rivers reaching a persistent year-round heatwave state in the early 21st century. Under the high-greenhouse-gas-emission scenario (Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5), the average intensity of river heatwaves will increase by ~4.2-fold, and the average duration by ~95-fold, relative to the baseline period (1976–2005).…

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Authors

7

Topics & keywords

Keywords
  • Climate change
  • Ecosystem
  • Baseline (sea)
  • Climate extremes
  • Population
  • Aquatic ecosystem
  • Psychological resilience
  • Global warming
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