articleClimatic ChangeJan 29, 2026HYBRID OA

Extreme heat and drought at flowering could threaten global wheat yields under climate change

Rothamsted Research

PubMed
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Abstract

Global food security is a major challenge in the 21st century, exacerbated by increasing frequency and intensity of extreme climatic events under climate change. The extreme climatic events around flowering, such as intense heatwaves and droughts, threaten crop yields by impacting reproductive development and grain setting. Our study estimated the potential impacts of short-term, high impact extreme temperature and drought events during flowering on global wheat yields under future climates, using climate projections from CMIP6 and a state-of-the-art wheat model (Sirius). Results show that although extreme drought around flowering currently poses a higher yield loss than extreme heat, global yield loss due to…

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7
total citations
FWCI
197.40
Percentile
100%
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78
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Authors

5

Topics & keywords

Keywords
  • Climate change
  • Global warming
  • Global change
  • Heat wave
  • Extreme heat
  • Winter wheat
  • Extreme weather
  • Effects of global warming
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